51 Results for : forecasters

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    No one thinks one or two snowflakes will amount to anything. Not the man with the hat or the lady with the umbrella. Not even the television or the radio forecasters. But one boy and his dog have faith that the snow will amount to something spectacular, and when flakes start to swirl down on the city, they are also the only ones who know how to truly enjoy it. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Sean Schemmel. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/aren/001013/bk_aren_001013_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.
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    • Price: 9.95 EUR excl. shipping
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    A terrorist cleverly formulates a plan to take advantage of the environmental impact of extreme weather for geopolitical and personal gain. The world’s best thinkers, strategists, forecasters, scientists, and policy makers are collectively unprepared to deal with the chaos that follows the intriguing and almost apocalyptic results of the terrorist’s activities. A changing Earth coupled with the unchanging evil of humankind becomes a challenge for Tucker and Maya Cherokee who use science, perseverance, and compassion to help the President of the United States beat back a deranged, though brilliant, psychopath. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Rodney Montague. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/213163/bk_acx0_213163_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.
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    Everybody knows that when it snows down South, nobody knows what to do - and everybody panics. Be there with this story, when only one or two inches surprises the weather forecasters and everybody else, closing schools, closing roads, and leading to a general panic about how to get home. Southerners may be a lot of things - but they are not snow drivers. As for the author and his family and hundreds of others, including a State Representative, the only way to get home was to walk a mile up a mountain. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Lynn Benson. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/021482/bk_acx0_021482_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.
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    Fortune Tellers ab 22.49 € als pdf eBook: The Story of America's First Economic Forecasters. Aus dem Bereich: eBooks, Belletristik, Erzählungen,
    • Shop: hugendubel
    • Price: 22.49 EUR excl. shipping
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    Minding the Weather ab 55.49 € als epub eBook: How Expert Forecasters Think. Aus dem Bereich: eBooks, Fachthemen & Wissenschaft, Wissenschaften allgemein,
    • Shop: hugendubel
    • Price: 55.49 EUR excl. shipping
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    Very British Weather ab 12.99 € als epub eBook: Over 365 Hidden Wonders from the World's Greatest Forecasters. Aus dem Bereich: eBooks, Fachthemen & Wissenschaft, Wissenschaften allgemein,
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    • Price: 12.99 EUR excl. shipping
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    The storm of the century. That's what the forecasters called it. No problem. Peyton Grant was ready: books, food, wine, and a wood stove. The only thing she could have wished for was a little company. With heavy snow on the way, that was unlikely. The last thing she expected was to run into celebrity Nicholas Lang, stuck in a ditch near her house.What could a small-town veterinarian and a movie star have in common? The answer just might make all Peyton's fantasies come true.  A Redclaw Universe short story. May be listened to as a stand-alone. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Josh Macrae. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/190877/bk_acx0_190877_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.
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    Meteorology of Tropical West Africa ab 105.99 € als pdf eBook: The Forecasters' Handbook. Aus dem Bereich: eBooks, Fachthemen & Wissenschaft, Wissenschaften allgemein,
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    • Price: 105.99 EUR excl. shipping
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    UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER "One of the more momentous books of the decade."-The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger-all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox": The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good-or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary-and dangerous-science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver's insights are an essential read.
    • Shop: buecher
    • Price: 14.99 EUR excl. shipping
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    UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER "One of the more momentous books of the decade."-The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger-all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox": The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good-or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary-and dangerous-science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver's insights are an essential read.
    • Shop: buecher
    • Price: 18.99 EUR excl. shipping


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