111 Results for : taleb

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    Wie wir den Zufall in unser Leben mit einbeziehen könnenEs wimmelt vor Menschen, die Erfolge auf ihre »Strategie« und ihr »Können« zurückführen. Doch bestimmen Glück und Zufall unser Leben stärker, als wir denken. In seinem kenntnisreichen, tiefsinnigen und unterhaltsamen Buch zeigt der renommierte Zufallsforscher und Erfolgsautor Nassim Nicholas Taleb, dass wir oft fälschlicherweise Glück für Geschick halten. Dabei ist etwa der Börsenhandel oft wie russisches Roulette - ein gefährliches Spiel, dessen Ausgang niemand vorhersagen kann. Taleb entlarvt unsere menschliche Schwäche, dort Zusammenhänge zu suchen, wo gar keine sind, und von vergangenen Erfolgen auf zukünftige zu schließen. Seine präzisen Reflexionen sind auf alle Lebenslagen übertragbar und schützen uns davor, in Zukunft vom Zufall zum Narren gehalten zu werden.
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    Europeans once thought all swans were white. "White" was part of how they defined "swan." Then black swans were discovered, and the definition changed forever. In his 2007 book The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb says the Black Swans of his title can appear at any time, in the form of financial crises, wars, and other unexpected events that have profound, irreversible consequences. Taleb draws on philosophy, mathematics, economics, and other disciplines to explain in plain English why we seldom prepare for these events adequately. The way our brains process knowledge, combined with the conventions of statistical modeling, lull us into believing the future will resemble the past. The Black Swan was published shortly before the financial crisis of 2008, and that particular Black Swan event helped Taleb's ideas reach a broad, popular audience. The book, which has been translated into more than 30 languages, also sparked debates in several academic disciplines that continue to this day. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Macat.com. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/063899/bk_acx0_063899_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.
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    Warum wir nur denen vertrauen sollten, die etwas zu verlieren habenStehen wir für die Risiken ein, die wir verursachen? Zu viele der Menschen, die auf der Welt Macht und Einfluss haben, so Nassim Nicholas Taleb, müssen nicht wirklich den Kopf hinhalten für das, was sie tun und veranlassen. Intellektuelle, Journalisten, Bürokraten, Banker, ihnen vor allem wirft er vor, kein »Skin in the Game« zu haben. Weil sie den Preis nicht bezahlen müssen, wenn sie irren, fällen sie schlechte Entscheidungen. Taleb zeigt anhand vieler Beispiele, wie »Skin in the Game«, ein fundamentales Konzept des Risikomanagements, auf alle Bereiche unseres Lebens übertragen werden kann. Sein neues Buch, so provozierend und bahnbrechend wie »Der Schwarze Schwan«, fordert uns heraus, alles, was wir über Risiko und Verantwortung in Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft zu wissen glauben, neu zu denken.
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    Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a fl¿ur, meditating in cafes across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Tandon School of Engineering but self-funds his own research. His books, Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes and Fooled by Randomness (part of a multi-volume collection called Incerto, Latin for uncertainty), have been translated into thirty-seven languages. Taleb has authored more than fifty scholarly papers as backup to Incerto, ranging from international affairs and risk management to statistical physics. He refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
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    On a stifling afternoon at Police HQ in Algiers, Superintendent Taleb, coasting towards retirement, with not even an air-conditioned office to show for his long years of service, is handed a ticking time bomb of a case which will take him deep into Algeria's troubled past and its fraught relationship with France.
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    Antifragile (2012) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, introduces and explains hormesis, or the way that some systems benefit from the chaos and stress that normally would destroy fragile things. Any cohesive system of cooperators or processes composed of smaller participating actors, from the human body to the stock market, can be fragile, robust, or antifragile. Purchase this in-depth analysis to learn more. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Susan Murphy. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/094672/bk_acx0_094672_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.
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    THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
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    Der Zufall ist des Glückes Schmied. Glück oder Zufall sind viel bestimmender in unserem Leben, als wir denken. Wir neigen dazu, unser Glück auf unsere eigenen Fähigkeiten zurückzuführen, den Zufall halten wir für unsere Bestimmung. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, renommierter Statistiker und Erfolgsautor des Bestsellers »Der schwarze Schwan«, entlarvt unsere menschliche Schwäche, dort Zusammenhänge zu suchen, wo keine sind.
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    Money Anxiety is a behavioral economics book exploring how financial anxiety impacts consumer behavior. The book explains why we make instinctive financial decisions, why we are more risk averse when stressed, and why we hate to lose more than we love to win. This book references scientific research and empirical analysis conducted by Daniel Kahneman, PhD, Nobel Prize recipient in economics, on thinking fast and slow; Dan Ariely, PhD, on irrational behavior; Deepak Chopra, MD, and Rudolph E. Tanzi, PhD, on the three major components of the human brain; and Nassim Nicholas Taleb, PhD, on the impact of the highly improbable. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Robert Austin. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/065337/bk_acx0_065337_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.
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    Please note: This is a summary of the book, not the original book. This summary is not endorsed by or affiliated with the original author. Randomness is everywhere and involved in almost everything, especially politics and the economy. Presidents foolishly boast about all the jobs that “he created”, when it was only the chance of the market. Our belief that we owe our success to our own abilities, instead of recognizing most of our success comes from chance, is just another primitive superstition from our ancient past, the author argues. The human mind all too often sees elephants in the clouds, when it's really just water vapors that happen to have randomly assumed shapes we associate with elephants for a brief period of time. The author is particularly critical of the literary mind, which is trained to see meaning where there is only noise. The literary mind is so obsessed with meaning that it extracts all sorts of meanings from obscure passages and insignificant events that have nothing to do with those meanings at all. They see the intent of an author where it was clearly only random, such as a minute word choice or the placement of a certain imagery. The study of randomness is a young science, but quickly growing. The error that skill is more important than sheer fortune has its worst impact in the market, the author argues. We all too often hold up a great businessman in high esteem for his great skill and vision, when in reality 99.9 percent of his riches are due purely to chance. ungekürzt. Language: English. Narrator: Nate Sjol. Audio sample: https://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/111274/bk_acx0_111274_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.
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